TrueScotsman
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The Russians are demilitarising the West so successfully that there’s nothing left to start a war with China.
$18.7 Billion In Backlog, US Weapons Supply To Ukraine Is Leaving Taiwan Defenseless Against China?
Ukrainian collapse around Bakhmut opening the way to total victory in Donbass. So much for all the BS about a WW1 type stalemate.
[ Bakhmut Front ] Ukraine lines collapse south of Bakhmut as Russia forces captured 4 vital towns
Ursula von der Leyen lets the truth slip. 100,000 Ukrainian soldiers dead.
“Putin gambled and lost.”
And how will you be eating your words? With a little salt and pepper or a demi glace sauce?
“That was indeed the lesson I was trying to give you by my recent links to various videos.”
The difference, All-in with The Guardian’s imperialist narratives, is that I suffered watching a little of what you linked to. As a rule, I’ll watch a link til I hear something I know to be false or spin that is divorced from reality. I got about 20 seconds into the video. Lol. You, on the other hand, appear to have dismissed mine out of hand. Water, horse, dead horse.
“You expressed your own problem very well, better than I could.”
Except it’s not my problem, it’s yours. Why do you think I call you a Guardian Bro?
“When one defers to the authority of others as we all have to do on this forum when it comes to understanding the military strategy and tactics of the war, the importance of qualification becomes paramount.”
No, the importance of truth is all that matters.
“As a general rule, it is the preponderance of evidence we should heed and not go by the claims of the occasional aberrant out-lier.”
Lol, you confuse the preponderance of noise with the preponderance of evidence. In wartime it’s the noise that’s overwhelming, particularly from the “home team”. You, it is obvious, are woefully unequipped to sort through the noise. Perhaps your ears don’t work as well as they used to? Although, to be fair, the problem isn’t with your ears, what’s between them is where the issue lies.
“As Carl Sagan advised, extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof.”
The claims aren’t extraordinary if one steps out of one’s MSM bubble. But again, you aren’t equipped, for whatever reason, to do so.
“And you support inflicting misery, cold, mutilation and death on masses of people”
Erm no, I support the fight against Nazis.
“Your main prop for your analysis is a one-time middle-ranking officer”
Translation: I didn’t watch the video and choose instead to indulge my confirmation bias. I don’t believe in half measures so when I commit to being wrong I commit 110%.
I’m proud of you champ.
““Liberals”, as I understand it, uniformly support one side and one capitalist warlord in this sordid capitalist conflict against the other side.”
You’re liberals because you say you support workers but that’s the extent of your concern. You don’t actually do anything. In fact you oppose the only people who do try to build a workers’ state.
“Socialists don’t.”
You are not socialists. You hate socialists and every socialist government that has ever existed. Just like liberals do.
Walks like a liberal, quacks like a liberal. You’re liberals.
“You will dismiss it as just fake propaganda”
You always say that then link to such shit anyway. Why?
“but it possesses the same credibility as some of your own dubious sources”
Erm no, it doesn’t. Which of my sources is “dubious” and why?
“Russian war aims have not been achieved.”
Erm, you said they “won’t” be achieved. The conflict is ongoing. You’re calling the game at the half time whistle.
“SMO began in February or don’t you have a calendar?”
The Russian’s are busily
defeating the most powerful army in Europe. That takes time.“De-Nazification has not been accomplished. Zelensky’s power has strengthened.”
See above.
“NATO influence has grown not lessened.”
NATO is in a death spiral. It’s about to lose its proxy war, its economies are collapsing, its people shivering its weapons turned to smoldering lumps of scrap.
“The separatist republics remain under threat.”
Threat of an excess of human fertiliser maybe.
“Now even Crimea is possibly at risk.”
Lol. It’s at as much risk as Starlight the rainbow unicorn is of drowning in Bubblegum Lake. Meanwhile, in the real world…
“What fantasy are you in that the obvious is obscured for you?”
Lol, only obvious to Guardian Bros and other MSM useful idiots.
“A contingency is when you have prepared a Plan B in advance to implement if required. The Russian mobilisation according to their own media reports was chaotic.”
What were the numbers mentioned in the article you linked to? 4,000 wasn’t it? Out of 300,000+? Lol
“Is it crystal ball reading when I said “…it is the workers who in the end pay the price.””
What a pivot! You said Russia’s war aims wouldn’t be accomplished. Erm, what does “workers paying a price” have to do with anything?
“Or very basic Marxism?”
Lol what does Marxism have to do with it? We’re talking about Russia meeting its military objectives here! Stay focused old man.
“This is a follow-up on my earlier claim that
“… workers are the source of wealth creation it will be us who eventually bear the burden…””Again irrelevant.
“The costs of war have to come from the increased extraction of surplus value from working people – economic exploitation of their work.
It is called the Marxist Labour Theory of Value.”
Blah, blah. So what?
“And it applies equally to NATO countries as well as to Russia.”
Water’s wet. Yeah, go on…
“Hence my other prediction was that if the war keeps going authoritarianism will grow in Russia not because of civil or human rights but because of the necessity of the State to intensify the class war against Russian workers to appropriate more surplus value from them to make up the loss in profits from the expense of war.”
Again, blame NATOstan and the Kiev Nazis for this.
“That is not speculation. You forget that what underlies our views is always a socialist analysis, something you very much lack”
Lol, except you aren’t socialists you are liberals LARPing as socialists.
“simply because you don’t comprehend what Marx explains in the Communist Manifesto “The history of all hitherto existing society is the history of class struggles.””
Erm, it’s not that hard to understand. Don’t overestimate your rather limited intellectual capabilities.
“The price of war is not just in workers’ blood but in their sweat and toil.”
Seems it’s “Platitude Day” today here at Socialist Posers Guardian Bros HQ. Here’s another: love will find a way.
“A 2017 article centred upon the political position of an American ex-president and an imagined scenario of a full-scale European theatre war.”
The distribution of forces has seen no significant change.
“How relevant is that today?”
Just as.
“The fact that Russia had to mobilise 300,000 extra soldiers from its reserves shows that it never prepared for a long war nor expected such heavy casualties.”
Wrong, military planners prepare for all contingencies. Calling up reserves was always a contingency.
“That is a fact. And after almost 3 months it has still failed to deploy them to any extent to change the balance of the battle.”
The reserves were/are being trained and equipped. A great deal have already been deployed. The ground is still a bog. When it hardens most analysts anticipate a Russian offensive.
“I did read today that Russia has brought up artillery and rockets in the South, to counter any attempt by Ukraine to advance beyond Kherson towards Crimea.”
Lol, with what? The Ukrainians are spent. The math doesn’t lie.
“An offensive if it takes place is to the north on the Donbass front and there, as I said, it is trench warfare with artillery duels.”
Much of the conflict since the very start has been trench warfare. The Ukrainians spent the entire period of the Minsk
Agreements building trench and fortification networks. That’s why Russia’s progress is “slow”. It’s a meat grinder and Ukrainian conscripts are the meat.“In your recent absence, I have posted on Scott Ritter’s lack of insider information from his time as an Iraq WMD expert.”
He doesn’t need to have insider information to know what regiments, etc are where. It’s publicly accessible information.
“Two decades out of the intelligence agencies loop, he has no more access to information than any other journalist, (perhaps even less as he is thought of as a pariah,) relying on what is in the public domain and in published research papers he read.”
What’s he wrong about?
“Russia’s war aims will not be achieved.”
As you’ve a crystal ball, what’re next weeks lottery numbers? Wait, don’t tell me, you’re wrong about everything. Lol
“According to the Dutch warfare research group Oryx”
It’s an “open source research group” meaning a bunch of pimply, pizza eating video gamers doing Google image searches. About as reliable as a used car salesman running a ponzi scheme. A joke from a joker. I’ll stick to the experts, you stick to whatever the frig they are. Lol
