robbo203
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If nuclear weapons are used – and it is a big “if” – they will probably only be tactical nuclear weapons and confined to Ukraine (a non-NATO country). I can’t imagine the Russian regime being so foolish as to send a strategic nuclear missile to say, the UK, (which seems to be the most aggressive of the NATO countries) and thereby risking a NATO-wide response. That would be catastrophic for both sides
Translation from Russian
“Britain is currently the main actor in the escalation of our war. The United States is immersed in the electoral process. Trump’s victory risks leading to a total revision of the strategy towards Russia and Ukraine. That is why the main player in the West today is London.
The invasion of the Kursk region, early attempts to land in Crimea, strikes deep into Russia are typical of the British, who always try to achieve military results through information and political methods. The situation at the front is more than sad for us. By the end of the year, we will reach a complete deadlock in Donbass. That is why the British decided to compensate for the failures by “transferring the war” to Russia for escalation.Russia managed to continue the offensive without declaring mobilization, which is why Bankova is now looking for formats to transform the Kursk operation so that the Kremlin is forced to do so.
However, the current stage will not end there. We should expect strikes with Western weapons deep into the Russian Federation. The goal is to provoke protests and a collapse of Putin’s ratings.
This is the final chord before the negotiating track. Next year, we should not expect new counter-offensives by the Ukrainian Armed Forces. There are no material, human or moral resources for this. Therefore, until the end of the year, the West will try to negotiate the most advantageous positions for itself. Who will receive the response for the strikes on Russia? Of course, we will. After all, it will not be Paris and London that will be struck…
On brink of nuclear war.
…………………
It might appear so but it is much more likely just sabre rattling. After all, it does seem very much like Russia is winning the war in Ukraine and will soon achieve the objective of taking the whole of Donbas before focusing on Kherson and maybe Odesa. Would they jeopardise this by engaging in a nuclear exchange with NATO? More likely they will just absorb a few missiles and plough on. If they are going to use nuclear missiles probably Ukraine itself will be the first target. Ukraine, not being a member of NATO, how can NARO respond in kind? In the meantime, the destruction caused will serve as a warning to NATO. I don’t think this is likely, though, and despite the warmongering talk I don’t think the EU is keen to have a nuclear exchange with Russia (we already know that from previous posts in this thread)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Donald Trump Jr:
“At a time when American leaders should be focused on finding a diplomatic off-ramp to a war that should never have been allowed to take place, the Biden-Harris administration is instead pursuing a policy that Russia says it will interpret as an act of war. In the words of Vladimir Putin, long-range strikes in Russia “will mean that NATO countries — the United States and European countries — are at war with Russia.
Some American analysts believe Putin is bluffing, and favor calling his bluff. As the Times reported, “‘Easing the restrictions on Western weapons will not cause Moscow to escalate,’17 former ambassadors and generals wrote in a letter to the administration this week. ‘We know this because Ukraine is already striking territory Russia considers its own — including Crimea and Kursk — with these weapons and Moscow’s response remains unchanged.’”
These analysts are mistaking restraint for weakness. In essence, they are advocating a strategy of brinksmanship. Each escalation — from HIMARS to cluster munitions to Abrams tanks to F-16s to ATACMS — draws the world closer to the brink of Armageddon. Their logic seems to be that if you goad a bear five times and it doesn’t respond, it is safe to goad him even harder a sixth time.
Those exploding pagers…
Unnamed US and Israeli officials told Axios that the explosions were initially planned as the opening move in an “all-out” offensive against Hezbollah. But in recent days Israel became concerned Hezbollah had become aware of the plan – so they were detonated early.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cz04m913m49o
and the possible repercussions…
People here will continue to support UK policy.
Some people will but I have noticed quite a lot of other people don’t, on platforms like Twitter and Facebook. You notice connections being made between, for example, between the apparent ease with which the UK government finds itself able to generously support the authoritarian Zelensky regime in the war against the authoritarian Putin regime but when it comes to providing UK pensioners with the traditional heating allowance suddenly the money has mysteriously run out and the state coffers are empty. Flag-waving nationalist loonies might not think much about the war possibly escalating into a nuclear conflict but a lot of people are worried and I think this does act as a kind of constraint on policy as well – perhaps not so much in the case of the sociopathic nutjobs that run the so-called Labour Party in the UK but certainly in Washington where decisions carry greater weight
“In 2017 Labour said 4,000 pensioners would die if the universal winter fuel allowance was scrapped & Angela Eagle said such a move by the Tories would be outrageous
Eagle is now a govt minister and says its needs to be scrapped because the economic situation is different”
Yeah, I agree. That is a fair point- although that did not stop the Orinoco Times peddling the BS about the failure to release the detailed results being due to a “massive and unprecedented cyberattack aimed at damaging the electoral and corrupting the electoral system.” Even if that was true you could always recount the actual paper ballots which all went to the CNE – supposedly – if that evidence has not already been destroyed.
This ridiculous excuse is what is allowing this corrupt antidemocratic regime to cling on to power in the face of the fact that it lost the elections by a wide margin. Even many Chavistas recognise this and are deeply unhappy with the situation. It seems to me more and more obvious that the regime is not going to release the results. Its entire credibility would be on the line. Of course, it could try to fake the actas but I don’t believe that is possible…
Yeah but that idiot Starmer doesn’t look like he is gonna get his way – assuming he is for giving Ukraine the unconditional assistance of long range missiles which is pretty sick considering the possible consequences…
It seems the Pentagon is not in favour of the idea although the State Department is
Sir Keir Starmer was set to leave Washington on Friday night without any announcement on allowing Ukraine to fire long-range missiles into Russia.
The Prime Minister held talks with Joe Biden in the White House to discuss pleas from Volodymyr Zelensky to let the country use the Storm Shadow missiles.But John Kirby, a spokesman for the US national security council, said there would be no announcement on long-range missiles after the meeting. He did not rule out one at a later date.
Foreign Office sources had briefed against expecting the green light at the end of Starmer’s visit, but it will come as a disappointment to leave without a decision.
After the meeting, Sir Keir said the pair had come to a “strong position” but suggested a final decision on Storm Shadow had been deferred to the UN General Assembly at the end of the month.
“While France has not announced an official position on the matter, unnamed diplomats told the French daily that Paris is concerned about the risk of escalation and has been working to avoid it, RT reported.
“We must do everything possible to avoid World War III,” an unnamed official told the newspaper.”
The Orinoco Times is a blatantly pro-government outfit. It is not a reliable source. It seems pretty clear that the gangster capitalist Maduro and his cronies stole the election and that they are not going to release the detailed results despite promises. The deadline for doing so has long passed. Maduro is a lying scumbag who wants to cling to power at all costs so he and his chums can keep their grubby paws on the oil revenue, drug trafficking money and so on.
All the excuses they come up with are transparently just a means of wriggling out of the constitutional obligation to reveal the detailed voting results. As I understand it, there was no “massive cyberattack”- the farcical claim of an attack emanating from North Macedonia was disproven – though there was apparently an attack on an outlier computer not locked into the CNE system (which is unhackable). And even if there was an attack, the CNE presumably has all the paper voting slips (if they haven’t destroyed these already). It has no excuses for not revealing the results
It appears that many Chavistas are themselves starting to question the official results. I was looking at an interview with one Chavista who was saying that while she supported the government she was not a cheat. Some Chavistas had access to actas – the voting tallies – which they said were identical to those posted on the opposition website showing Maduro lost by a huge margin.
Here in Spain, there has been quite a lot of news just lately about Venezuela and wealthy Venezuelans who have links to the regime who have bought up expensive property in places like certain posh suburbs of Madrid. The suggestion is corrupt money might be involved but the situation is tricky for the PSOE regime here because of its ties with Venezuela.
I do agree with one thing the CNE statement says, however:
The United States of America has one of the most pathetic and obsolete electoral systems on the planet, incapable of providing certainty in its results, leaving many doubts in its elections, as has been evident on countless occasions. For this reason, the United States government lacks the moral authority to evaluate and give opinions on electoral issues anywhere, and much less in Venezuela, where there is an electoral system of the highest global standards.
The American election is indeed a joke, However, the last bit about the Venezuelan electoral system being of the “highest global system” is only true in a technical sense but what is the point in having an election if you are determined to lie about the result that the system delivers?
But is not this a Russian propaganda channel?
______________________________I think the guy who writes the substack is pro-Russian, yes. Its the first time Ive come across it so I am not all that familiar with it. But it interesting that Sikorski should suggest that what politicians say in public is not necessarily the same thing as what they say in private. The hype about crossing red lines and whatnot may just be a case of posturing
This might be relevant :
“The relief, of course, is that Sikorski confirms: “There is no willingness in Europe to have a war with Russia, this is an absolute red line.”This is good news, as it shows behind the scenes Europe has a few saner and cooler heads than we sometimes imagine, and Sikorski even goes on to admit that much of his posturing is for the public’s sake to make Putin “wonder”—i.e. part of the infamous “strategic ambiguity” that Europe has banked on out of desperation.
https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/zelenskys-last-hail-mary-gets-off
