This week’s election results

November 2024 Forums General discussion This week’s election results

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  • #217693
    ALB
    Keymaster

    The result of the Hartlepool by-election seems to show that voters prefer the Tory they know than the Tory they don’t. And that it wasn’t so much Corbyn that led to Labour’s rout in the December 2019 general election as its anti-Brexit line, of which the chief architect was . . . Sir Keith Starmer. Not a bad achievement to do worse than Corbyn.

    #217694
    DJP
    Participant

    Perhaps. Though I wonder how much of a factor the ‘vaccine bounce’ is playing in all of this.

    #217695

    Well, given the Tories got roughly the number of votes they got in 2017 and won by a good margin, I think this isn’t covid bounce, I’ve seen it described as a voter strike, which I think is fair enough.

    Hartlepool must feel deeply abandoned, and the machinations of the Labour machine really did not help.

    #217696
    ALB
    Keymaster

    They said on the news that the last time Hartlepool had a Tory MP was in 1964 but I don’t know whether that was before or after the General Election in October that year which retuned Labour to power under Harold Wilson after what they called “14 years of Tory misrule”. In any event if Hartlepool was that much of a “red wall” constituency how come it had a Tory MP until 1964?

    #217701
    DJP
    Participant

    The Conservatives got a 23% increase this year. The UKIP / Brexit party vote has completely disappeared and probably gone to them. Quite a few factors playing in their favour I think.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hartlepool_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s

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