General election

December 2024 Forums General discussion General election

  • This topic has 73 replies, 16 voices, and was last updated 5 months ago by ALB.
Viewing 15 posts - 46 through 60 (of 74 total)
  • Author
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  • #253020
    imposs1904
    Participant

    “St Francis of Assisi never made a speech on the doorstep of number ten.”

    You know the reference.

    #253022
    ALB
    Keymaster

    Starmer will be the fifteenth PM I will have served under

    I make the first to be Sir Anthony Eden. Thats’s going back a bit. So you remember the Suez adventure and the petrol rationing that resulted?

    #253025

    Email received at Head Office:

    Just to let you know I put in a protest vote ‘Socialism SPGB’ at my local polling station in the Sunderland Central constituency. I could not think of voting for any of the other parties as they all support Capitalism.

    #253026
    imposs1904
    Participant

    This is a wild official message from a sitting Prime Minister:

    https://x.com/RishiSunak/status/1808890318713954593

    I’m convinced he was bored with being PM and just decided to call an early election so he could spend more time with his money.

    #253027
    Thomas_More
    Participant

    “St Francis of Assisi never made a speech on the doorstep of number ten.”

    If he had tried, he wouldn’t have gotten the respect he got from the pope.
    He’d have been dragged off as a homeless bum.

    #253028
    james19
    Participant

    Watch the Count live in your area.

    North London
    South London

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/l0056p46/watch-your-count-live-north-london

    #253029
    Thomas_More
    Participant

    As expected, the Tories won a landslide in my area.

    #253030
    #253033
    ALB
    Keymaster

    If you are talking about Christchurch the Conservative Party got 16941 votes or 35.8%.

    Last time in 2019 the same candidate got 33894 or 65.2%.

    Their vote was halved and you call it a landslide. Typical.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2024/uk/constituencies/E14001171

    #253034
    ALB
    Keymaster

    Comment from another forum about Labour’s performance:

    “Only 2% vote up from last time, lost several seats, total vote share a pathetic 34%, leader loses 18,000 votes in his seat, overall turnout a near historic low. Labour’s 9,700,000 votes is clearly fewer than the 10,300,000 votes the party received under Jeremy Corbyn in the 2019 election.”

    #253036
    imposs1904
    Participant

    Someone posted these figures on Urban 75. Kind of shocking, if true:

    Corbyn in 2017 – 12,877,918
    Corbyn in 2019 – 10,269,051
    Starmer in 2024 – 9,650,254

    Labour vote, according to wiki, 9,686,329 (33.7%).

    I honestly think that if the Tories and Reform come to some agreement, Labour – with its majority of 174 seats – could be ousted at the next election. I think their “super-majority” is that brittle.

    #253037
    chelmsford
    Participant

    No, I think I just caught the arse end of Macmillan’s reign of terror.

    #253038
    DJP
    Participant

    ““Only 2% vote up from last time, lost several seats, total vote share a pathetic 34%, leader loses 18,000 votes in his seat, overall turnout a near historic low.”

    With first past the post you win by winning seats not by getting the largest total vote share. I’ve heard someone comment that the low vote share for labour may indicate a high instance of anti-tory tactical voting. This could also explain the rise in seats for the lib dems.

    #253039
    imposs1904
    Participant

    A major reason that Labour under Corbyn got hammered in 2019 is cos Farage and his ilk stood down. The Labour Right and the usual suspects in the media crowed at the time that it was Labour’s worst performance since the 1930s.

    Farage and his ilk stood up this time, resulting in decimation for the Tories and this super-majority for Starmer in 2024.

    All you have to have in 2028/29 is for the Tories and Farage to have some kind of electoral arrangement more along the lines of 2019 – though Farage has the whip hand now – and that majority will vanish. There won’t be an extended honeymoon period for this incoming Labour Government. It’s going to unravel sooner than people think.

    Some New Statesman journalist was trying to be all clever and smug on Twixxer, by saying we shouldn’t compare 2024 to 1997, we should be comparing it to 1906.

    . . . Yep, and what happened to that Liberal Party super-majority by 1910?

    • This reply was modified 5 months, 2 weeks ago by imposs1904.
    #253042
    Thomas_More
    Participant

    Then how come the Christchurch Tory incumbent kept his seat?

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