Syria again
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Contrasting analysis from Peter Ford, former UK ambassador to Syria and Robert Ford, former US ambassador to Syria
From…Tik Tok
Close talks about Socialism!?
Also, Zarah Sultana MPSyrian government accused once more of use of chemicals
Out of the headline news does not mean it is all over.
Assad has attacked a former opposition stronghold with missiles and artillery shelling in an attempt to crush a simmering insurrection, in an unprecedented development in Syria’s decade-long war.
The situation in Deraa deteriorated sharply when the local population decided to boycott May’s fraudulent general election, in which Assad was returned for another seven years in office with 95% of the vote. Regime soldiers began blocking roads and turning off water and power supplies to neighbourhoods home to about 50,000 people, leading to shortages in food and medicine.
“The escalation in Deraa al-Balad represents a breakdown of negotiations between the leaders of the ‘reconciled’ rebels and the regime, mediated by Russia,” said Elizabeth Tsurkov, a fellow at the Newlines Institute with extensive knowledge of southern Syria’s dynamics. “Assad is now implementing the ‘solution’ it wanted to impose on Deraa all along – forcing complete surrender and displacement of those who refuse to act as loyal subjects of the Syrian regime. Unless Russia intervenes to put an end to the fighting and broker a ceasefire, the fighting will result in even more civilian deaths and displacement, and likely the subjugation of Deraa al-Balad under full regime control.”
OBCW places guilt upon the Syrian government for the 2018 Douma chlorine gas attack based on 70 environmental samples as well as 66 witness statements and technical data that simulated the trajectory of the cylinders and disbursement of gasses.
Looks like the Islamist savages in the land of Isis are on the march again and another part of the relatively civilised world risks falling under their sway.
Syrian Rebel group pulled off its stunning seizure of Allepo
It looks like the new government of the USA is going to confront many challenges. It is not going to be like walking in a park and ending a conflict in 24 hours as Donald Trump said about Ukraine
Another unintended consequence. The US supports Israel’s military actions to weaken Hezbollah and Iran who support the regime in Syria and opens the door to Al Quaeda.
Just like in Iraq where they overthrew the Saddam regime and so allowed the largely pro-Iran Shia Muslim majority to dominate.
https://www.cfr.org/global-conflict-tracker/conflict/civil-war-libya
And the situation in Libya is getting worst. They overthrew and killed Gaddafi and it became a chaos
That was quick. This week hasn’t been a good one for dictators. In South Korea a would-be dictator was forced to back down by parliamentary and popular resistance. In Syria a decades long brutal dictatorship collapsed within 10 days.
Both illustrate that even under capitalism a determined majority will get its way in the end. No government can maintain its rule in the face of widespread majority resistance. Those who think that a capitalist government would be able to establish and maintain for any length of time a dictatorship in face of the democratically-expressed majority will for socialism should take note.
In the words of Victor Hugo, “No army can withstand the strength of an idea whose time has come”.
Mind you, the killing and destruction is but over yet. One civil war ends but another continues. Manbij was not controlled by the Assad regime but by the Kurdish nationalists. Reference to air power (which the “rebels” don’t possess) shows the direct involvement of Turkey.
And it can be expected that the new regime will be just as much opposed as the previous one to Israel’s occupation and annexation of the Golan heights, especially as the family of the leader of the main rebel group comes from the area (hence his nom de guerre al-golani).
In any event Israel is not taking any chances and has moved to occupy even more of the Golan heights:
What will happen to the Russian bases in Syria now?
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In the world of capitalist alliances and negotiation anything can happen including negotiating with the Russians, and the Russians were there in order to protect their naval feet routes to the Mediterranean sea and they will continue protecting their naval fleet
https://www.reuters.com/world/russia-says-syrias-assad-has-left-country-given-orders-peaceful-power-handover-2024-12-08/
https://theconversation.com/russia-and-the-taliban-heres-why-putin-wants-to-get-closer-to-afghanistans-current-rulers-227287
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